As COVID-19 cases surge, India races to set up quarantine centres squib

A recent Indian Council for Medical Research (ICMR) paper spoke about two scenarios of how India would stand against the COVID-19 virus - a pessimistic one and an optimistic one. In the optimistic scenario with the basic reproduction number (R0) being 1.5 (expected number of transmissions directly generated by one case), if half of the symptomatic patients are identified and quarantined, and if asymptomatic patients do not spread the disease, its prevalence will reduce by 62 per cent. Further, it has found that community transmission will happen in the country, however, effective screening and quarantine will make a difference in the severity.
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